This comparison has a strange shape: the answer changes on 1 January 2027, and it changes without either company doing anything. Today, Gemini 3.8 Flash costs $0.75 per million input tokens against GPT-6 Sol's $2.00 — a 2.7× gap on the input side and the same on output, $3.75 against $10.00. That gap is large enough that price alone settles most decisions.
On 1 January, Gemini 3.8 Flash's introductory rate ends and doubles to $1.50/$7.50. The gap does not close — it narrows from 2.7× to 1.3×. That is still a Gemini advantage, but it is no longer a decision that makes itself. Here is the arithmetic on both sides of the date.

| Metric | GPT-6 Sol | Gemini 3.8 Flash | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Input / 1M | $2.00 | $0.75 | Gemini 2.7× |
| Output / 1M | $10.00 | $3.75 | Gemini 2.7× |
| Cached input / 1M | $0.20 | $0.075 | Gemini 2.7× |
| Cache write / 1M | $2.50 | None | Gemini |
| Context window | 1.05M | 1M | GPT-6 Sol (marginal) |
| Long-context tier | Above 272K | Above 200K | GPT-6 Sol |
| Batch API | Yes, 50% | Yes, 50% | Tie |
| Rate stability | Stable | Doubles 1 Jan 2027 | GPT-6 Sol |
Support chat: 1,000 conversations of 4,000 input and 600 output tokens. Cached RAG: 1,000 requests, 50,000-token prompt with 45,000 cached, 1,000-token answer. Nightly batch: 10,000 requests of 10,000 input and 2,000 output tokens.
| Workload | GPT-6 Sol | Gemini 3.8 Flash | Gemini saves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Support chat | $14.00 | $5.25 | 63% |
| Cached RAG | $29.10 | $10.87 | 63% |
| Nightly batch | $200.00 | $75.00 | 63% |
The saving is a constant 63% because the ratio between the two price sheets is constant. There is no workload shape where GPT-6 Sol closes the gap at list price — only a quality difference can justify the premium, and that is an evaluation question rather than a pricing one.
Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.7 Flash both move from $0.75/$3.75 to $1.50/$7.50 on 1 January 2027. Re-running the same three workloads:
| Workload | GPT-6 Sol | Gemini 2026 | Gemini 2027 | 2027 gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Support chat | $14.00 | $5.25 | $10.50 | 1.33× |
| Cached RAG | $29.10 | $10.87 | $21.74 | 1.34× |
| Nightly batch | $200.00 | $75.00 | $150.00 | 1.33× |
Gemini still wins every row, by about a third rather than by two thirds. A team that chose Gemini purely on a 63% saving will find that justification roughly halved in January. A team that chose it on a 33% saving plus other factors will not notice.
Gemini applies its long-context tier above 200,000 input tokens; OpenAI waits until 272,000. That means there is a band — 200K to 272K — where Gemini pays a surcharge and GPT-6 Sol does not, which is the one place where GPT can be cheaper.
| Prompt length | GPT-6 Sol | Gemini 3.8 Flash | Cheaper |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150K input | $62.25 | $24.75 | Gemini 2.5× |
| 250K input | $103.00 | $96.75 (tier) | Gemini 1.06× |
| 300K input | $244.50 (tier) | $92.25 (tier) | Gemini 2.7× |
| 900K input | $729.00 (tier) | $274.50 (tier) | Gemini 2.7× |
Each row assumes 200 requests with a 1,500-token answer. The 250K row is the only near-tie in the table, and it exists only because Gemini's tier starts 72,000 tokens earlier. Even there Gemini is marginally ahead — the surcharge is not large enough to flip the comparison, only to narrow it to 6%.
Google publishes no cache-write fee. OpenAI charges $2.50 per million tokens to store a prefix on GPT-6 Sol, a 25% premium over the input rate. On a 45,000-token retrieval block written once per job, the fee is $0.11 — small, but it is a fee that does not exist on the other side.
Both bill cached reads at 10% of input. Gemini's $0.075 is simply 2.7× lower because its base rate is. For a RAG pipeline, the cached rate is the number that dominates the bill, which is why the 63% saving in the RAG row is larger in absolute terms than the chat row.
Price is not the only input, and this dataset measures only price. Three structural reasons to pay 1.3–2.7× more:
Yes, on every workload measured here. Gemini 3.8 Flash is 63% cheaper at its 2026 introductory rate and about 25% cheaper after the January 2027 doubling.
1 January 2027, when the 3.8 and 3.7 Flash introductory rates double from $0.75/$3.75 to $1.50/$7.50 per million tokens.
No. Cached reads bill at 10% of the input rate and there is no write fee, which makes caching strictly cheaper than on OpenAI or Anthropic.
GPT-6 Sol at 1,050,000 tokens versus Gemini's 1,000,000 — a 5% difference that matters far less than the long-context tier thresholds.
Put your own numbers into the free LLM cost calculator, or open the head-to-head page for GPT-6 Sol vs Gemini 3.7 Flash.